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Trump Closes the Iran War While Netanyahu Searches for an Imaginary Victory

June 22, 2026
in Sunna Files Observatory
Reading Time: 21 mins read
0

Benjamin Netanyahu stood before journalists on 15 June 2026 and spoke for eight full minutes about one trillion dollars that Iran had supposedly lost, leaders he claimed to have assassinated, and a nuclear threat he said had been thwarted.

For eight minutes, he built what he regarded as a flawless victory speech. Then, within that same speech, he inserted what may have been the real purpose of the entire address:

“The agreement with Iran was Trump’s decision, and we have our own interests.”

With a single sentence, Netanyahu tried to protect three decades of narrative building around his personality and rule, while attempting to recover some of the dignity stripped away by Trump through public insults and degrading remarks aimed directly at him in the media.

Netanyahu was not openly admitting defeat. He never does that. But from the position of a man with no other option, he acknowledged what could no longer be hidden: the agreement he had spent his entire political life trying to prevent or shape was signed without him, above him, and at his expense.

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The Man Who Built Himself on Fear

Three decades is not an exaggeration.

Netanyahu himself said during his press conference that his “mission in life” was to fight Iran’s nuclear programme. This was not merely a line for media consumption. It was an accurate description of an entire political project.

In his famous 2015 speech before the United States Congress, delivered at the invitation of Republicans while bypassing the Obama administration, Netanyahu used maps, props and diagrams to prove what he presented as knowledge only he possessed.

He was not simply discussing policy. He was marketing an identity:

I am the man who understands the Iranian threat, and I am the only one capable of confronting it.

Israeli Institute for National Security Studies researcher Danny Citrinowicz wrote that Netanyahu built his entire political rise around this label: the leader who believes that force alone can stop Tehran, and that any diplomatic track with Iran amounts to abandoning Israel.

Then came the agreement.

It was not signed in Washington or Tel Aviv. It was announced from Islamabad. Trump signed it electronically with his deputy, Vance, while Iranian parliament speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf led the Iranian team.

Israel, Washington’s favoured ally, was not a party to it. It even asked to review the memorandum before it was signed, but that request was rejected, according to Israel’s Channel 12.

Israeli media, including outlets whose currents often seize opportunities to settle scores with Netanyahu, quoted Israeli officials describing the agreement as Trump’s deception of Israel.

Another official called it “catastrophic” because it did not meet any of the principles Israel had discussed at the beginning of the war, according to Yedioth Ahronoth.

Even Maariv, which has maintained a relatively favourable relationship with Netanyahu, argued that Iran had proven itself the stronger side in the equation, while Israel’s political leadership had become a marginal actor receiving outcomes rather than shaping them.

What worsened Netanyahu’s humiliation was not only that the agreement was signed without him.

It was that the Hebrew press itself, read by his own electoral base, described the scene with a harsh clarity he tried to evade through his speech.

A Partnership That Was Tactical, Not Strategic

On 28 February 2026, when American and Israeli aircraft launched their first coordinated strikes against Iran, Netanyahu and his friend Trump celebrated what they called “historic decisions”.

Netanyahu told Israelis that the alliance with Washington had never been closer.

At the time, it appeared to be a genuine partnership in decision-making. Netanyahu may even have believed that himself.

But behind the shared image, the equation was different.

Yedioth Ahronoth, citing informed officials, reported that Trump entered the war believing it would be “easy and quick”. That was the assessment Netanyahu and Mossad director David Barnea had delivered to him during their meeting at the White House, even though senior American administration officials saw the picture as far more complex.

At the beginning of the war, Trump chose to trust Netanyahu.

But when reality collided with Iran’s refusal to surrender, the closure of the Strait of Hormuz, and the shock this sent through global oil markets, Trump decided to end the war and cut the losses.

This is where the difference between tactical and strategic partnership becomes clear.

Netanyahu was a partner in carrying out agreed strikes, but he was not a partner in deciding when the war would end or how.

When that decision came, it came from Washington alone, driven by American economic and electoral calculations that had nothing to do with the “security of Israel” Netanyahu had promoted for so long.

One source quoted by Yedioth Ahronoth stated this explicitly:

“Trump realised that Bibi’s vision is not his vision. Bibi wants something different. Bibi does not want to end the war, does not want the agreement, and wants to return to bombing.”

That sentence summarises Netanyahu’s crisis.

He was not a strategic partner. He was a supplier providing military services until the larger client decided to close the file.

From Decision Partner to Managed Obstacle

On the day the agreement was expected to be signed, Israeli forces bombed the southern suburb of Beirut two hours before the signing.

The strike almost derailed everything.

Iran threatened to withdraw from the negotiations, while its parliament speaker publicly warned that continued strikes on Lebanon would mean the talks would stop.

Trump was forced to intervene and wrote:

“We are very close to an agreement. Let’s not ruin it.”

What happened in Washington was not passing anger. It reflected a firm belief that Netanyahu had been “working behind the scenes to sabotage the negotiations”.

That is precisely what Israeli officials familiar with American sentiment told the Israeli press.

Trump reportedly viewed the Beirut strike as a slap in the face and an act of ingratitude.

Behind the scenes, Trump told Axios of the strike:

“I told Netanyahu, he has no judgment whatsoever.”

In an interview with the Financial Times, he described him as “a very difficult man”.

In an interview with The New York Times, Trump said Israel should be “very grateful” to America.

On the sidelines of the G7 summit in France, he added a statement no leader could hear calmly:

“Without me, there would be no Israel.”

Most clearly of all, Trump told the Financial Times that Netanyahu was forced to accept the agreement “because he does not make the decisions. I make the decisions.”

But Trump did not stop at verbal humiliation.

He also moved to weaken Netanyahu politically in a direct way, publicly suggesting that he may not run in the next election. That touched Netanyahu’s deepest fear, given the trials and corruption cases awaiting him once he leaves office.

The Defeated Do Not Announce Defeat. They Build a Narrative Around It

Netanyahu claimed that Iran had lost “one trillion dollars”.

He spoke of a destroyed Iranian security apparatus and a nuclear threat that had been thwarted.

The entire speech was staged as a celebration of final victory.

Then, almost in the same breath, he admitted that he did not know the details of the agreement, that the agreement was “Trump’s decision”, and that he and Trump “do not always agree”.

This contradiction was not an accidental slip.

A leader claiming to have saved Israel from a nuclear threat cannot also be unaware of the terms of the agreement that ended the war.

A leader who built his career on being the decisive actor in the Iran file cannot describe the agreement as “Trump’s decision”.

Rather, it revealed the scale of the humiliation suffered by Israel’s prime minister.

The agreement did not include any of the key objectives Netanyahu had set for the war.

There was no removal of enriched material.

There was no dismantling of enrichment facilities.

There were no restrictions on the ballistic missile programme.

There was no halt to Iranian support for its regional allies.

In other words, the war waged by the occupation under Netanyahu’s pretexts ended without achieving what he said it would achieve.

The “one trillion dollars” line opened the victory speech.

The defeat was present in everything that followed.

Israelis saw it.

Opposition leader Yair Lapid said there had never been “a more complete failure than this”.

Benny Gantz described it as “the greatest strategic failure in Israel’s history”.

Yair Golan spoke of a “strategic collapse”.

Commentator Nahum Barnea wrote that Israel’s role had become “obedience and gratitude”.

Even inside the Israeli military and Mossad, questions began to surface:

“For what did we waste money and blood?”

Escaping Forward

To understand why Netanyahu clings to power despite all this humiliation, one must look at what awaits him outside power.

Legally, he faces three corruption and bribery cases, known as Cases 1000, 2000 and 4000, involving charges of bribery, fraud and breach of trust.

His trial has been ongoing since 2020.

He has appeared before the court for the 81st time and sought a presidential pardon from Isaac Herzog without admitting guilt, but the government’s legal adviser refused even to consider the request.

Politically, a Channel 12 poll on 5 June 2026 showed Likud falling to just 23 seats, while the latest possible date for the election is October 2026.

Trump himself publicly asked:

“Does he want to continue?”

The American president knows that Netanyahu has no alternative support base in the United States and that, in reality, he is dependent on him.

This makes Trump’s public reference to elections a clear political message, not a casual comment.

In all of this, Netanyahu’s only remaining card is the continuation of wars.

At his press conference, he declared that the Israeli military would remain in Gaza, Lebanon and Syria for as long as necessary, and rejected the Lebanese clause in the agreement.

As Yedioth Ahronoth has suggested, Netanyahu, watching his “life project” evaporate, may resort to a rule-breaking event, such as a high-level assassination, an escalation in Jerusalem, or an operation abroad.

The aim would be to change the media agenda and cover the humiliation inflicted by Trump before Israeli public opinion settles on a fixed image of a leader who has lost control of events.

American Frustration Is Real, but Limited

Despite all this, it would be easy to read the scene as if Washington has abandoned Israel or radically redefined its alliance with it.

That reading is tempting, but it is not very accurate.

American frustration is documented and real, and its dimensions are deeper than they appear on the surface.

Trump has stated clearly that “regime change in Iran was not the objective”, and that the current Iranian government “acts rationally”. This directly contradicts what Netanyahu has argued for three decades.

Trump also appears to believe that Hezbollah rocket fire on northern Israel has become “a normal situation that does not require a response, as long as no one is killed”. This is an American reading of Israel’s security equation that differs sharply from Netanyahu’s view.

Yet all of this remains frustration over method, not abandonment in substance.

The agreement itself is closer to a heavy truce than a comprehensive settlement. It postpones the nuclear file rather than resolving it, opens sixty days of negotiations, and keeps American military power in the region.

Even at the moment Trump said Israel owed its existence to America, he repeated that Iran would “never possess a nuclear weapon”.

What has changed is not the alliance itself.

What has changed is Netanyahu’s position inside it.

He has moved from a partner who dictates terms to a subordinate figure being managed.

He has gone from a leader who supposedly shared a strategic vision with Washington to a man being told:

“You do not make the decisions.”

What has been broken is Netanyahu’s dignity, his indispensability narrative and his claim to be the decision-maker.

That break is real, public and documented.

But the American-Israeli system that allows the occupation to continue remains firmly in place.

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