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Israel on the Brink: Missiles from the Sky, Economy in Collapse

May 16, 2025
in Sunna Files Observatory
Reading Time: 13 mins read
0

Since its creation nearly 77 years ago, Israel has waged wars across the Arab world—from the borders of Palestine to faraway battlefronts. But unlike earlier wars that remained largely external and short-lived, Israel’s recent conflicts now penetrate deep into its core, dragging the home front into the battlefield and shattering the illusion of domestic immunity.

From the First Lebanon War to the Al-Aqsa Flood campaign, the Israeli home front has become a war zone. And unlike previous conflicts, this transformation has brought massive economic and psychological costs, especially as Israel has increasingly adopted a Western-style economy dependent on stability and labour force continuity.

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A War That Hits the Wallet First

Israeli analysts estimate that each day of warfare costs Israel at least half a billion shekels—not counting combat expenses.
According to Calcalist, the biggest financial drain wasn’t weapons, but personnel costs, particularly the 49 million reserve duty days served during the war since October 7.

     

      • 220,000 reservists were called up in multiple waves

      • Reserve soldiers were paid up to 15,000 shekels per month

      • Over 840 soldiers killed, and 14,000 injured (averaging 1,000 new injuries per month)

    Even after demobilisation, Israel faces the logistical nightmare of maintaining long-term deployments on both its northern and southern borders, as no solution has been found to the IDF’s recruitment crisis.


    The Soaring Cost of Escalation

    According to The Marker, just three more months of expanded military operations in Gaza could cost:

       

        • 25 billion shekels (~$7 billion USD)

        • Over $2 billion per month, just for reserve salaries and ammunition

      The war has already forced the Netanyahu government to reopen the national budget—which had barely passed—to add emergency spending. That likely means:

         

          • New taxes

          • Higher cost-of-living pressures on Israelis

          • Deep strain on civil infrastructure and public services

        Israel’s military budget for 2025 is set to surpass 160 billion shekels (~$42 billion USD)—higher than any year in its history.


        Iron Dome, Empty Coffers

        One of the most expensive weapons Israel has used is the Arrow 3 (Hetz-3) missile, designed to intercept ballistic threats. Each missile costs $2–3 million.

        The current war has seen extensive deployment of this system, particularly:

           

            • In April and October 2024, against Iranian missiles

            • Against Houthi-launched rockets from Yemen

          This unprecedented use of strategic interceptors has skyrocketed Israel’s operational costs far beyond sustainable levels.


          A Military-Driven Economic Meltdown

          Globes, The Marker, and even the Bank of Israel have all raised red flags about:

             

              • Widening budget deficits

              • Declining GDP growth

              • Foreign investors pulling back due to insecurity

            Former Chief Economic Advisor to the IDF, Brigadier General (Res.) Mehran Brozinfer, warned:

            “Calling up 60,000 reservists for one day alone costs 60 million shekels. When you factor in ammunition, logistics, and lost productivity, that figure can jump to 100 million shekels per day.”

            Worse still, small business owners—especially independent contractors and freelancers—are facing complete collapse due to repeated deployments.
            Many will never recover, triggering long-term ripple effects across Israel’s service-based economy.


            Mounting Pressures and A Nation Cracking

               

                • The Israeli shekel weakens

                • Inflation rises

                • Investor confidence falters

              According to Brozinfer, the real crisis is that Israel cannot sustain a war economy any longer. He warns:

              “We’re nearing two years of war. It must end. This isn’t just about bombs and borders—the soul of Israel’s economy is bleeding.”

              And the toll isn’t just financial. The psychological impact on thousands of wounded and traumatised soldiers, the fracturing of the reserve force, and the social fatigue from nonstop conflict are slowly pushing Israeli society toward a breaking point.


              A Decade of Economic Loss Ahead?

              Globes predicts that the war could cost Israel a full economic decade. If trends continue, Israel may enter an era of economic contraction not seen since the early 1980s.

              What began as another military campaign may soon be remembered not for its battlefield outcomes, but for how it bankrupted the state, fractured its workforce, and exposed the limits of militarised governance.

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              Tags: Israel
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