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Will Netanyahu’s Provocations Push Arab and Regional States to Form a Military Alliance Against Israel?

September 14, 2025
in Sunna Files Observatory
Reading Time: 12 mins read
0

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and several members of his government have publicly threatened to target leaders of the Palestinian resistance on the soil of states hosting them, while simultaneously opening fronts with multiple countries across the Middle East.

These remarks have angered Egyptian, Arab, Turkish, and Iranian publics, sparking calls for solidarity among Cairo, Ankara, Tehran, Doha, and other regional capitals.

On Tuesday evening, Israel carried out 12 airstrikes on Qatar’s capital, Doha, targeting Hamas leadership. This came after Israeli strikes on Lebanon, Yemen, Syria, and even Tunisia’s “Fleet of Steadfastness,” alongside the massacres in Gaza and the West Bank since October 7, 2023.

Netanyahu declared:
“Qatar, and every state that harbours terrorists [his term for Hamas leaders], must either expel them or hand them over to justice, or Israel will act if those states do not.”

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Observers interpreted this as a clear warning of repeat “Qatar-style operations” against Hamas leaders wherever they may be.


Escalating Israeli Threats

On Thursday, Israeli Defence Minister Israel Katz wrote on X that Israel would hunt down resistance leaders everywhere, even if they resided in Egypt:
“The hand of Israel will strike its enemies wherever they are. There is no place they can hide.”

Israel’s ambassador in Washington, Yehiel Leiter, told Fox News:
“Hamas members are targets anywhere and anytime.”

Meanwhile, Knesset Speaker Amir Ohana published video of the Israeli strike on Qatar, captioning it as a direct warning: “This is a message to the entire Middle East.”


Cairo on Alert – Ankara in the Crosshairs

Analysts warn that Netanyahu’s threats implicitly extend to Qatar, Turkey, Iran, Syria, Yemen, and even Egypt. After bombing Tehran, Beirut, Damascus, Tunis, and Yemen, Netanyahu appears determined to impose his will across the region.

Although no explicit threat has been made against Egypt, speculation arose after Israel’s strike on Doha that Hamas leaders now residing in Cairo could also be targeted. Some Egyptian voices insist that a Turkish-Egyptian-Iranian alliance is now a necessity.

According to Middle East Eye, intelligence reports suggested Israel was plotting to assassinate Hamas leaders in Cairo. An Egyptian security source warned:
“Any attempt to strike Hamas leaders on Egyptian soil will be considered a violation of sovereignty and thus a declaration of war by Israel—and we will not hesitate to respond.”

Lebanon’s Al-Akhbar reported that Cairo intends to use the upcoming Doha Arab-Islamic Summit to push for the creation of a joint Arab force of 20,000 troops to defend any Arab state under attack.

At the same time, Israeli papers speculate that Turkey could be Israel’s next target. Haaretz warned of “catastrophic consequences,” noting that Turkey fields the second-largest army in NATO.


Shifting Alliances and Military Balances

Despite tensions, Egypt and Turkey have recently drawn closer through economic and military cooperation, including agreements to co-produce Turkish aircraft—fueling speculation about potential security collaboration against Israeli threats. Analysts, however, remain uncertain whether this cooperation could evolve into a full military alliance, given Washington’s open-ended support for Tel Aviv.

Meanwhile, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio visited Israel on Saturday, alongside a tour that included Britain, reaffirming America’s unconditional commitment to Israel’s security, even as condemnation of the Doha attack mounts worldwide.


“Drums of War” – Regional Commentary

Turkish journalist Hamza Tekin told Arabi21:
“Netanyahu, wanted by international courts, is not simply posturing to impose his will. He is sounding the drums of war. His ministers are openly threatening to bomb Arab states—this means war.”

He argued that Netanyahu’s actions should push Arab and Muslim states to adopt decisive political, economic, diplomatic, and even military measures. Tekin added that Netanyahu’s aggression continues only because of unwavering U.S. and European support:
“Without Western silence, he could not have escalated his massacres in Gaza or dared to strike Arab capitals.”

Former Egyptian Deputy Foreign Minister Abdullah al-Ashaal stressed that no Arab coalition could emerge without U.S. consent:
“These states will never move collectively without American approval, and Netanyahu would not dare issue such threats without Washington’s blessing.”


Complex Realities

Egyptian analyst Osama al-Heteimi noted that while Israel’s escalation crosses every red line—most recently the Doha strike—the prospect of a real Arab-regional alliance remains slim due to ideological differences, rivalries, and strong U.S. ties restraining many states.

He pointed out that Egypt’s military independence has been limited since the Camp David Accords, making Cairo unlikely to join an anti-Israel alliance except under extraordinary conditions. Cooperation with Iran, in particular, remains sensitive due to Gulf states’ objections to Tehran’s regional role.


Strategic Message to Egypt and Turkey

Egyptian columnist Samir al-Araki argued that Israel’s strike on Doha was intended as a warning: no Arab or regional capital is safe. He called for urgent Turkish-Egyptian coordination at political and military levels.

Journalist Qutb al-Arabi urged the Doha summit to establish a joint Arab-Islamic military industry, arguing that reliance on U.S. and European weapons has left the Arab world exposed.


Regional Power Rankings

According to Global Firepower 2025:

  • Turkey ranks 9th globally.
  • Israel ranks 15th.
  • Iran ranks 16th.
  • Egypt ranks 19th.

Manpower and hardware:

  • Israel: 170,000 active soldiers, 465,000 reserves, 1,300 tanks, 240 fighters.
  • Egypt: 440,000 active, 480,000 reserves, 3,620 tanks, 238 fighters.
  • Turkey: 355,000 active, 378,700 reserves, 2,330 tanks, 201 fighters.
  • Iran: 610,000 active plus IRGC, 1,700 tanks, extensive missile and drone forces.

While Israel maintains qualitative superiority in air power and technology, Turkey commands NATO’s second-largest army, Iran dominates in missile and drone capabilities, and Egypt possesses the region’s largest armoured corps.


Conclusion

Israel’s escalating threats—combined with massacres in Gaza, the strike on Doha, and provocations against multiple Arab capitals—are pushing the region toward an unstable and dangerous future.

Whether this translates into a real Arab-Islamic military alliance remains uncertain. But one fact is undeniable: unless Arab and Muslim states act collectively, Israel will continue to target them one by one, while Washington shields Tel Aviv from accountability.

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