Professor Xueqin Jiang, a professor of philosophy and history, stated that a war with Iran could become “another Vietnam” for the United States.
Jiang explained during an interview with British broadcaster Piers Morgan on his program “Uncensored” that the United States would face major difficulties in achieving victory or even securing clear gains if a large scale military confrontation with Tehran were to erupt.
He noted that the United States and Iran are currently engaged in a war of attrition. According to Jiang, Washington seeks to weaken Iran’s military capabilities, while Tehran attempts to pressure and disrupt the global economy.
He added that Iran is exerting significant pressure on the Gulf Cooperation Council states, suggesting that the United States may eventually be forced to deploy ground forces. He further stated that once American ground troops are deployed, there will be no realistic path for withdrawal.
Jiang stressed that at that stage the engagement would become full scale, and what is known as the “sunk cost fallacy” would come into effect, potentially turning the conflict into “another Vietnam” for the United States. He added that Iran represents a mountainous stronghold that would be extremely difficult to penetrate.
He also explained that the United States currently lacks sufficient manpower, industrial manufacturing capacity, and political will to sustain a long war of attrition on the ground inside Iran.
Xueqin Jiang had previously sparked widespread debate online after a lecture from 2024 circulated in which he predicted that the United States would lose a war against Iran.
At the time, the Chinese professor pointed to several major forces that could push the United States toward a military confrontation with Iran, most notably pressure from groups supportive of the Israeli occupation within the United States, such as the American Israel Public Affairs Committee (AIPAC), whose activists seek to ignite a war in the Middle East.
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