The events unfolding in the region since Operation Al-Aqsa Flood on 7 October 2023, followed by the American–Israeli war on Gaza — with the open participation and support of their allies — have marked a turning point in the political economy of the Middle East.
The massacre of more than 65,000 martyrs, the destruction of nearly 90% of Gaza’s cities, and the deliberate starvation, displacement, and terrorisation of over two million people have exposed the hypocrisy of global power structures. These tragedies have turned the region into a laboratory for a new kind of geopolitical engineering — one that seeks “stability” through economic manipulation rather than justice.
The Rebranding of Occupation: From Military War to “Peace Conference”
A series of high-level visits and diplomatic manoeuvres followed the devastation, culminating in the activation of Trump’s plan and the attendance of U.S. President Donald Trump, his envoy, daughter, son-in-law, cabinet ministers, and senior Pentagon officials at the Knesset, followed by their presence at the Sharm El-Sheikh Peace Conference 2025 on the same day.
That event — hosted by Egypt and publicly framed as a “peace effort” — revealed an international agenda far beyond humanitarian relief. Beneath its polished diplomatic language lies an attempt to impose a regional economic order that trades justice for “security”, and freedom for foreign-controlled investment.
This new phase can be best described as a model of “Disaster Capitalism” — converting human suffering into opportunities for multinational profit. The deaths of tens of thousands of men, women, children, and the elderly; the destruction of hospitals, schools, mosques, and entire neighbourhoods — all become a backdrop for lucrative reconstruction contracts and strategic power plays.
The Economic Consequences of a Genocidal War on Gaza
Counting the Losses
The material and financial costs of the war on Gaza surpass all announced figures. Early estimates already speak of hundreds of billions of dollars in direct and indirect losses. Yet beyond numbers, the real price is human — a deliberate attempt to erase Gaza’s existence and rebuild it under new terms dictated by the occupiers and their patrons.
The Real Agenda Behind “Trump’s Plan”
At the heart of Trump’s plan, whose contours surfaced during the Sharm El-Sheikh Conference, lies an effort to freeze the Palestinian cause. By injecting Gulf-funded “reconstruction” money into the ruins of Gaza, Washington and Tel Aviv aim to reward the aggressor and force Arab states to finance the damage caused by their own bombs — under the pretext of “regional stability” and “security guarantees”.
Country-by-Country Breakdown: Who Gains from Gaza’s Destruction?
The Occupying Entity
Before 7 October, the Zionist economy was driven by its high-tech sector. But the war triggered an unprecedented shock.
Losses have exceeded US$100 billion, as hundreds of thousands of reservists were called up, paralysing production and shrinking the GDP. Tourism collapsed by over 80%, inflation surged, and investor confidence evaporated.
Behind its rhetoric of “self-defence” lies the true goal: to secure massive U.S. military aid and global financial backing that sustains its “Qualitative Military Edge” — the foundation of Zionist hegemony in the region.
Egypt
Egypt’s economic crisis — long burdened by corruption, debt, and political stagnation — has deepened. The war’s impact on the Red Sea trade routes has slashed Suez Canal revenues by over 50%.
Cairo’s stated motive is to secure its borders with Gaza and prevent the forced displacement of Palestinians into Sinai, which would threaten Egyptian sovereignty. But beneath this security narrative lies another objective: to extract new financial packages from Gulf states — endorsed by Washington and the IMF — to ease its foreign debt (now near US$165 billion) and stabilise its collapsing currency.
Egypt also seeks American pressure on Ethiopia over the Renaissance Dam crisis, which threatens its very water security.
Jordan
Jordan continues to grapple with high unemployment (over 22%), declining tourism, and a fragile economy reliant on foreign aid.
Its main strategic concern is maintaining Hashemite custodianship over Al-Aqsa and the holy sites of Jerusalem. Economically, Amman aims to keep U.S. and European financial assistance flowing, restore investor confidence, and preserve its trade links with the occupying regime — even at moral cost.
Gaza: The Heart of the Tragedy
Even before the war, Gaza lived under a suffocating blockade imposed jointly by Egypt and the Zionist regime.
Unemployment exceeded 65%, and poverty was rampant. Today, the World Bank estimates damages exceeding US$50 billion, though independent sources speak of hundreds of billions.
The real agenda of the United States and the occupation is not to rebuild Gaza for its people, but to turn it into a controlled economic zone. Under the guise of reconstruction, Gulf states will inject around US$20 billion, managed by Washington and distributed among American, Western, Israeli, Turkish, Egyptian, and Arab companies linked to the normalisation axis.
This is not a humanitarian project — it is a contractors’ war.
Regional Winners: The Diplomacy of Profit
Qatar
As a global LNG power with a sovereign wealth fund of nearly US$450 billion and host to the largest U.S. military base in the Gulf, Qatar seeks to preserve its position as an indispensable mediator to Washington.
Its aim: to manage and direct part of the reconstruction funds, thus strengthening its political leverage and safeguarding its global investments.
Saudi Arabia
Focused on its Vision 2030 goals, Saudi Arabia’s strategy of conditional normalisation — recognition of a Palestinian state in exchange for ties with Tel Aviv — reflects a pragmatic bid for U.S. security guarantees.
Riyadh views “peace” efforts as a path to revive regional economic integration, stalled since Operation Al-Aqsa Flood, which reignited public support for the Palestinian resistance. For Saudi planners, resistance movements and political Islam are disruptive to their modernisation vision, and thus must be neutralised economically.
The United Arab Emirates
The UAE’s priority is protecting its role as a global financial hub. Any instability threatens its foreign investment inflows and the image of post-Abraham Accord “stability.”
Abu Dhabi fully aligns with the Zionist and American agenda, seeking to eliminate any remnants of Islamic political movements that gained popular traction after Al-Aqsa Flood — movements it perceives as existential threats to its model of governance.
Turkey
Despite public opposition to Zionist crimes, Turkey — a powerful industrial economy — is eyeing a major share in reconstruction projects.
By expanding its contracting and construction footprint, Ankara aims to offset its inflation crisis, stabilise the lira, and sustain employment after offloading millions of migrants who had been the backbone of low-wage labour in its economy.
United States of America
The U.S. stands as both architect and beneficiary of this new order.
By sponsoring “peace,” Washington secures its arms sales, replenishes depleted stockpiles for both the occupation and Gulf allies, and reasserts its geopolitical dominance against Russia and China.
President Trump’s personal business instincts — shaped by his background as a real estate investor — blur the line between diplomacy and corporate profit. The U.S. uses humanitarian rhetoric to mask a network of military-industrial contracts disguised as “aid.”
United Kingdom
Post-Brexit Britain seeks to sustain its strategic partnerships in the Middle East and with Washington.
Economically, London’s interests lie in protecting Red Sea trade routes and securing energy and reconstruction contracts for its struggling industries — a pragmatic, not moral, participation.
European Union (Germany, France, Italy, Spain)
Europe’s agenda revolves around energy security in the Eastern Mediterranean and curbing migration flows from the Global South.
Participation in such conferences is less about “peace” and more about ensuring corporate access to billion-dollar contracts in infrastructure, logistics, and private security — profit cloaked in diplomacy.
Conclusion: The New Doctrine of “Profiting from Catastrophe”
The unfolding scene confirms an emerging global order built upon the monetisation of tragedy. Temporary security is purchased with Gulf capital, managed by American–Israeli supervision, and sold as “regional stability.”
In reality, it is the commercialisation of genocide — an unholy alliance of economic opportunism and political submission.
Outlook (2025–2028)
Strategic and Political
What is unfolding is not a peace process, but a pause between battles — a chance for powers to regroup, rearm, and recalibrate.
The Zionist entity will continue its provocations in Jerusalem, Lebanon, and beyond, until divine justice prevails and Al-Aqsa is liberated by the will of Allah. The coming years may witness limited wars with Iran, Lebanon, Yemen, or Syria, serving as distractions from Gaza’s unresolved wounds.
Economic
The global economy is expected to face deepening stagnation, led by the United States and spreading worldwide.
Short-term injections of Gulf capital will create an illusion of growth — what economists call “non-inclusive growth” — benefiting only elites and foreign corporations.
But without addressing the root causes — injustice in Palestine, authoritarianism, corruption, and social inequality — these financial manoeuvres will collapse, triggering political and social unrest across both the Middle East and the West.
If trends continue, the coming years may bring economic upheaval and civil disorder not only in our region but also across the United States, the United Kingdom, and Europe.
