The Hebrew newspaper Maariv published details of an interview with former Mossad official Haim Tomer, conducted on Radio 103FM by presenters Yinon Magal and Ben Caspit. The discussion focused on the ongoing war between the Israeli occupation and Iran, and the prospects of eliminating Iran’s nuclear capabilities.
Tomer began by stating:
“I used to think that heads of state remained outside the battlefield, but Iran has launched a large number of missiles at Israel.”
He added that all the missiles launched from Yemen, a significant portion from Gaza, and all those from Lebanon are Iranian in origin — declaring that “there are no rules to this conflict. We are in a rule-less war, and everything is on the table.”
No Rules, No Limits
On the potential duration of the war, Tomer noted:
“The term ‘two weeks’ has been repeated by several government spokespersons. This suggests that the State of Israel was at least prepared for a military campaign lasting about two weeks.”
He elaborated that based on his estimates, Iran possesses between 2,000 and 2,500 heavy ballistic missiles. If Iran were to fire 200 missiles per day, the war could last 20 to 30 days, depending on daily launch volume. However, he suspects Iran will reserve a strategic portion of its arsenal.
“Given the pace and volume of missile launches in the early days, we are realistically looking at a 20-day conflict — possibly up to 30 days,” Tomer explained. “We are only five days into it, and what we’re experiencing now is a war of attrition.”
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Strategic Aims and Calculated Escalation
According to Tomer, Israel’s current military objectives include striking high-value Iranian targets and dismantling Iran’s energy infrastructure — which he described as “the country’s primary and near-exclusive source of income.”
He continued,
“There’s also an effort to strike symbolic targets to raise the cost for Iran — that’s the essence of this confrontation. Iran has been preparing for this moment for years, just as we have.”
Regarding Iran’s nuclear program, Tomer expressed concern over the Fordow facility, which remains undamaged:
“From Israel’s standpoint, this is a problem. The Iranians may escalate quickly by conducting a nuclear test, particularly if they accelerate uranium enrichment and stage a demonstration in the desert. Such a move could have serious psychological and strategic consequences.”
Mossad’s Media Exposure: Strategic or Reckless?
On the recent publication of Mossad videos, Tomer was critical:
“Our operatives are working in the field year-round, risking their lives so that operations culminate at specific moments. In my opinion, publicising these videos is unnecessary. It undermines future operational freedom.”
Yet, he acknowledged the modern context:
“I understand that in today’s world, deterrence must be seen to be believed. I suspect Mossad chief David Barnea, who normally avoids the media, was acting under political direction to amplify the perception of Israeli reach inside Iran and to instill fear.”
Tomer concluded with measured skepticism:
“I don’t support it, but I hope I’m right in thinking that this move will strengthen Israeli deterrence against Iran.”
